2023 Projection - Bryan Abreu and Hunter Brown

Mar 01, 2023

Bryan Abreu

Quietly Bryan Abreu had an excellent 2022 year, albeit one where he was rarely used in high-leverage situations.

Still, he pitched in over a third of the games, threw over 60 innings, and accumulated 1.4 WAR.

Given Abreu’s history, it’s difficult to project a repeat of 2022, but there’s no reason he can’t be a piece of the puzzle.

The bigger question for me is do the Astros trust Abreu enough to expand his role in 2023?

Hunter Brown

These numbers were projected before Lance McCullers, Jr. was shut down, so obviously the calculus changes.

Brown was electric in his 20.1 innings as an Astro and there’s a tendency to assume his trajectory will be straight up in a linear fashion.

Maybe. Maybe not.

By design, my projections are going to be more conservative, though I admit 33 IP seems low given the current circumstances.

Think of these numbers as a starting point, they will adjust as we get real data during the season.