Composition of Projections:
2023 Actuals: .06%
Preseason Projections: 99.4%
K Prop
You may remember from yesterday that my model projects 5.66 strikeouts for Javier. The market is sitting at 6, so this is a stay-away again with the volatility this early in the season.
Odds
The Astros are -148 today and I like this more than yesterday’s number, because Dylan Cease is not pitching for the White Sox.
As you can see bwlow, ABreg and Yordan would be good to bet on and let’s not forget about Machete.
Bullpen Usage
Today’s Pitching Matchup
Projected Standings
I had originally planned to update them daily and I may do that later in the season, but as you can imagine, 1 game in, half the teams are undefeated and half are winless, with some being scoreless.
Messy. Poor planning on my part. Lesson learned.
May not mean anything note of the day
Mauricio Dubon was 0 for 3, but hit a ball 105.8 MPH (Cease) that ended up as a groundout (xBA .300) and 99.8 MPH (Graveman), a double play (xBA .220).
Some hard-hit ground balls will inevitably get through, but if you get them in the air…
Astros 162
Thanks for reading!