Updated Projections - 152 of 162 Games
Inching Closer
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Composition of Projections:
2024 Actuals: 93.8% Preseason Projections: 6.2%
The Astros are 82-70, in 1st place in the American League West, 5 games ahead of the Seattle Mariners with 10 games to go.
Fangraphs projects an 88-74 finish, 1st place in the AL West, gives the Astros a 98.5% chance of winning the Division and a 99.0% chance of making the playoffs.
Season Projections
Ben Gamel and Jason Heyward’s numbers will reflect only time with Astros.
Caleb Ferguson and Hector Neris’ numbers will reflect only time with Astros.
Stress Index
I like this index in combination with innings pitched, because not every inning is the same.
That said, it’s far from perfect, but it gives you a general idea of who is having stressful starts, especially when you see guys over 105 or so (still developing the heat map aspect).
The Home Run Project
OVER | UNDER
Under: 87 Over: 61 Push: 4
Under: 57.2% Over: 40.1% Push: 2.6%
Streak: 3 Under
Projected Standings AL West Win Totals
Other Stats/Information
Quality Starts
Across the league teams win close to 70% of games where their team’s starter throws a quality start.
It is closer to 80% if your pitcher has a quality start and the other team’s pitcher does not throw a quality start.
Simply put, it’s indicative of “giving your team a chance”.
Last 30 Days Bats and Arms
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