Updated Projections - 20 of 162

Yordan, Dubon and the bullpen come through in Atlanta

Composition of Projections:

2023 Actuals: 12.3%

Preseason Projections: 87.7%

Season Projections

McCormick in blue to signify IL.

Yordan trending toward 108 RBI.

Dubon’s torrid hitting has him projected over .250 for the season, I had projected him at .226 preseason. I hope he buries me.

Vintage Astros bullpen Friday night in Atlanta.

Today’s Pitching Matchup

With Framber and Javier going the next two days, you have to like the Astros chances in the series. That said, these dudes are no piece of cake.

Bullpen Usage

Last night didn’t count as a “consecutive day” for Pressly, but he’s pitched 3 times in 4 days, so he’s likely down for Saturday.

K Prop

Despite Brown's struggles, I’ve hit two in a row with Garcia and Brown.

I’m showing 6.4 for Framber tonight and with the market at 6.5, there’s no value and a stay away for me.

Odds

Astros are -102, which is almost exactly the same as yesterday. It’s worth a shot with Framber on the mound.

Not to mention I need a W for Framber for my prop bet on Valdez over 12.5 wins.

Projected Standings

Despite the .500 record, the Astros are trending in the right direction and project to 96 wins, thanks to their run differential and “luck” (0-2 in extras, 0-3 in one-run games), which will likely even out over the season.

May not mean anything note of the day

Yordan Alvarez’s expected batting average for 2023 is .216.

Astros 162

Click on the image for Episode 20.

Thanks for reading!