Updated Projections - 23 of 162

One seventh of the way through the regular season

Composition of Projections:

2023 Actuals: 14.2%

Preseason Projections: 85.8%

Season Projections

McCormick in blue to signify IL.

The great power outage continues for Jose Abreu.

Blanco has been hit some, but he also has 15 strikeouts in 10 IP.

Today’s Pitching Matchup

Might be a tough night for the Astros to score, with Bregman the only available that stands out.

Bullpen Usage

Pressly has now had 3 days of rest and 4 of 5 counting the off day.

K Prop

Even with Garcia’s low strikeout rate (18.2%) I’ve got him at 5.07 and the market is at 4.5. Take the over.

Odds

Astros are +154. The Rays are rolling and have won 14 straight at home. Though tempted to take the Astros at this number, without Yordan in the lineup I likely won’t bet on the Astros unless they’re playing Oakland.

Projected Standings

Rangers and Astros lost.

May not mean anything note of the day

Hector Neris has both the highest pLI and gmLI of any Astros pitcher.

pLI: A player’s average LI for all game events.

gmLI: A pitcher’s average LI when he enters the game.

Astros 162

Click on the image for Episode 23.

Thanks for reading!