Updated Projections - 31 of 162

If an extra-base hit fell in the outfield would anyone see it?

Composition of Projections:

2023 Actuals: 19.1%

Preseason Projections: 80.9%

Season Projections

Kyle Tucker has hit a tough stretch and is 0 for May (10 AB). More concerning is his last extra-base hit was his home run in Atlanta on April 22.

These numbers will look very different in June with the injuries to Garcia and Urquidy.

Astros 162

Click on the image for Episode 31.

Bullpen Usage

An off day was needed.

Today’s Pitching Matchup

Nice matchup. Advantage Javier, but the Astros offense is flailing at the moment.

K Prop

My number has Javier at 6.26, with the market 6.5, so it’s another stay-away for me.

Odds

The Astros +124, which is a number I understand and like for Houston. It’s a tough matchup with Castillo, but Javier is fully capable of shutting Seattle down and the Mariners 7-9 at home while the Astros are 8-4 on the road. Houston offers value.

Projected Standings

Astros drop to 3rd in the AL West.

May not mean anything note of the day

The Astros are 25th in Slugging % at .367, 3 spots behind the Royals and just ahead of the A’s.

Thanks for reading!