Composition of Projections:
2023 Actuals: 32.1%
Preseason Projections: 67.9%
Season Projections
Home run derby Sunday in Oakland helps season projections.
Neither Framber or Javier had their best stuff and still picked up wins. The A’s effect.
Astros 162
Click on the image for Episode 51.
Bullpen Usage
Pressly and Neris got a day after back-to-backs, but Maton went back-to-back. With France going, they’re likely going to need 3+ innings from the pen today.
Today’s Pitching Matchup
The Astros have decent numbers against Sonny Gray and J.P. France has not faced any Twins.
K Prop
I'm staying away from the Market at 5.5 and with no history for France against the Twins.
Odds
Astros -126 seems dicey to me with France on the mound against Sonny Gray who’s having a very good season so far.
Projected Standings
The gap closes a bit and the Astros are now projected for 99 wins (98.6, actually).
May not mean anything note of the day
Opponents only batting .200 against J.P. France’s slider (4 for 20), but the pitch has resulted in 3 home runs and a double in 60 pitches.
Thanks for reading!