Composition of Projections:
2023 Actuals: 34.6%
Preseason Projections: 65.4%
Season Projections
The Astros were outhit, but not outscored, due to clutch hits by Diaz and Bregman.
A good start by Blanco and a good night for the bullpen.
Astros 162
Click on the image for Episode 56.
Bullpen Usage
4 arms, 3.2 innings and 61 pitches last night. It’ll be interesting to see how Dusty manages it tonight with 10 games still to go before an off day.
Today’s Pitching Matchup
What a matchup tonight.
K Prop
The market is at 6.5, my number is 7.66. Over.
Odds
Astros are -126. I like it, but tread cautiously with Ohtani on the other side.
Projected Standings
Actual numbers have Astros 2.5 games behind Rangers, but long-term the outlook is not as rosy.
May not mean anything note of the day
A look at the changes in Jose Abreu’s declining projections in 15-day increments.
Since the beginning of the season:
Average -26 | OBP -28 | SLG -71 | HR -7 | RBI -13
Thanks for reading!