Updated Projections - 57 of 162

Long ball

Composition of Projections:

2023 Actuals: 35.2%

Preseason Projections: 64.8%

Season Projections

A couple of 400+ foot home runs.

Excellence by Framber.

Astros 162

Click on the image for Episode 57.

Bullpen Usage

Maton had a struggle for the first time in a long time and Abreu threw more pitches than he needed to also. Pressly did get up and warm a bit in 9th.

Today’s Pitching Matchup

This one favors the Astros in a big way. Look at Javier’s K% vs. the Angels. Yo.

K Prop

The market is at 6.5, my number is way over that given Javier has struck out 48.6% of the Angels he’s faced. Over.

Odds

Astros are -180, so you know the drill: Astros -1.5 at +112.

Projected Standings

Astros inching toward that century mark.

May not mean anything note of the day

While Ryan Pressly has the highest leverage index of relievers, as you would expect from the closer, it’s Hector Neris that has the highest average leverage when entering the game at 1.53.

This makes sense as Pressly almost always starts with a clean inning and Neris sometimes comes in (Thursday, for example) with men on. Neris has stranded 93.8% of runners.

Also, per Fangraphs, Neris has 13 shutdowns and 1 meltdown on the season.

Thanks for reading!