Updated Projections - 61 of 162

Stolen base attempts for the Astros have not increased. Or decreased.

Composition of Projections:

2023 Actuals: 37.7%

Preseason Projections: 62.3%

Season Projections

Where did all the hits go?

The Astros have had 5 consecutive quality starts, but are only 3-2 in those 5.

Astros 162

Click on the image for Episode 61.

Bullpen Usage

5 straight games of 6+ from the starter means the bullpen is in good shape with 5 games to go until an off day.

Today’s Pitching Matchup

While Bassitt has good numbers overall against Astros, Yordan has 3 home runs against him in 12 at-bats.

K Prop

The number is at 4.5 for Blanco, but you know the drill. 2 plate appearances is not enough to bet.

Odds

The Astros are +132. I like, but will wait to see if Altuve is in the lineup.

Projected Standings

The Rangers are distancing themselves in real life and in my projected standings.

May not mean anything note of the day

Remember all the hype over bigger bases, limited disengagements and the like? It has meant exactly 0 increase - or decrease - in the Astros on the bases.

Through 61 games in 2022 the Astros attempted 41 stolen bases and were successful 33 times.

Through 61 games in 2023 the Astros have attempted…you guessed it, 61 stolen bases and have been successful 32 times.

They were actually more successful in 2022.

Here are my projected stolen bases for the 2023 Astros.

Thanks for reading!