Updated Projections - 62 of 162

100 games to go before I sleep

Composition of Projections:

2023 Actuals: 38.3%

Preseason Projections: 61.7%

Season Projections

Grae Kessinger makes his debut.

Went through the rotation with the entire rotation having quality starts. Went 3-3.

Astros 162

Click on the image for Episode 62.

Bullpen Usage

Bullpen should be in good shape, though I’m guessing Neris may be down tonight.

Today’s Pitching Matchup

The Astros have hit Berrios for some Slug, and have 6 home runs against him. Unfortunately, 3 of those are in the missing bat of Jose Abreu.

The Blue Jays have hit Framber fairly well.

K Prop

The number is at 5.5 and I come in a bit lower at 5.25 because of Framber’s low strikeout rate against these Jays above.

Odds

The Astros are -116 and I like that number, given the lineup will theoretically be “normal” tonight. That said, I’d wait until the lineup comes out before jumping.

Projected Standings

Haven’t been able to say this in a while: Rangers lost and A’s won.

May not mean anything note of the day

Even without Luis Garcia and Jose Urquidy the Astros starters are 3rd in ERA at 3.23 and 3rd in xFIP at 3.79.

Thanks for reading!