Composition of Projections:
2023 Actuals: 5.6% Preseason Projections: 94.4%
Season Projections
Yordan is on a torrid pace.
Until this morning, I wasn’t aware that David Hensley has struck out in 40% of his plate appearances.
Blanco took a big hit yesterday and you wonder if the Astros will make a move with either him or Martinez once the 10-day window is up.
K Prop
My numbers come in at 5.04 for Brown and the market is at 4.5, with a half-strikeout advantage, I’d take the over at that number, but leave it alone if it reaches 5.
Odds
Astros are -106, but I am staying away until I get a better read on this team, which may not come until Altuve returns.
Bullpen Usage
The only good news is that Montero, Neris and Pressly were not called upon yesterday. On the other hand, maybe they should have been.
Today’s Pitching Matchup
A whole bunch of nothing as Mahle has 9 plate appearances against the Astros and Hunter Brown has 0 against the Twins.
Projected Standings
Still wonky.
May not mean anything note of the day
The Astros are 24th in batting average, 21st in OBP, 27th in slugging and 25th in wRC+ after 9 games.
Astros 162
Click on the image for Episode 9.
Thanks for reading!