Updated Projections - Game 107 of 162

Yordan to the rescue

Composition of Projections:

2023 Actuals: 66.0%

Preseason Projections: 34.0%

Season Projections

Astros 162

Click on the image for episode 107.

Bullpen Usage

Today’s Pitching Matchup

If the below is to be believed, Framber has struck out exactly 0 of 37 Guardians faced.

Gavin Williams has not faced anyone on the Astros.

K Prop

0 for 37 leads me to the under for Framber, which sits at 5.5 for Framber.

Odds

Astros -190 on the MoneyLine is again a big price for this team that is up and down and I’ll stay away, thanks. On the other hand, the run line shows Astros -1.5 at +105, which again seems like a better risk/reward to me.

Projected Standings

As August dawns, the Astros move within a half-game of the Rangers, but the projected meter barely moves.

Luck Rankings

Marlins back on top of Luck Rankings.

May not mean anything notes of the day

July:

• Chas McCormick: .351/.440/.688 .468 wOBA 6 HR 23 RBI 3/3 SB 207 wRC+ in 91 Plate Appearances

• Kyle Tucker: .359/.445/.674 .461 wOBA 7 HR 23 RBI 6/8 SB 202 wRC+ in 110 Plate Appearances

• Corey Julks: .194/.280/.236 49 wRC+

• Jeremy Pena: .205/.262/.269 49 wRC+

• Mauricio Dubon: .200/.234/.267 36 wRC+

• ERAs (25 games played)

  • Bryan Abreu 2.19 (13 appearances)

  • Hector Neris 2.25 (12 appearances)

  • J.P. France 2.30 (5 starts)

  • Rafael Montero 2.31 (9 appearances)

  • Ryne Stanek 5.56 (12 appearances)

  • Framber Valdez 7.29 (4 starts)

  • Phil Maton 9.64 (12 appearances)

Thanks for reading!