Updated Projections - Game 115 of 162

The closer you get

Composition of Projections:

2023 Actuals: 71.0%

Preseason Projections: 29.0%

Season Projections

It’s Kyle Tucker’s world.

An inefficient outing (again) by Javier.

Astros 162

Click on the image for episode 115.

Bullpen Usage

4 bullpen arms were used in an 8-2 win, but none on back-to-back days.

Today’s Pitching Matchup

Almost nothing for Brown vs. the Orioles, but Kremer does have some experience vs the Astros.

K Prop

6 plate appearances are not enough to make a judgment (or calculation). No bet for me, but for those interested it’s 5.5

Odds

Houston is -118, which implies a 54.13% chance of winning for the Astros on the MoneyLine.

My beta numbers show only a 41.01% chance of covering -1.5.

Take the Astros on the MoneyLine.

Projected Standings

Luck Rankings

May not mean anything notes of the day

Rafael Montero's last 10 appearances:

11.2IP 5H 3R 3ER 15K 6BB 1HBP 2HR 2.31ERA 4.72FIP 3.62xFIP

Thanks for reading!