Updated Projections - Game 123 of 162

Aug 19, 2023

Composition of Projections:

2023 Actuals: 75.9%

Preseason Projections: 24.1%

Four hits does not a run make.

Another pretty good start by France.

Click on the image for episode 123.

30 pitches out of the pen from Urquidy was a helpful start in managing the next two weeks without an off day.

Another good pitching matchup tonight.

6.5 is the listed number for Valdez and my number comes in at 6.45. No bet for me.

Astros -154 on the MoneyLine implies a win probability of 60.63%.

The Run Line number is +146, which implies a 40.65% chance of hitting. My number comes in at 45.91%, which leaves a 5% value on the Astros -1.5.

Yainer Diaz since June 1:

207 PA .293/.309/.571 14 HR 36 RBI .367 wOBA 137 wRC+

Yainer Diaz games started in 2023 (of 123 total):

Catcher: 30 DH: 29 1B: 4

Since August 1:

Record: 10-6

Team ERA: 3.41 Starters ERA: 4.44 Relievers ERA: 1.35

Batters: .256/.348/.427 w/.339 wOBA 23 HR 117 wRC+

Thanks for reading!