Updated Projections - Game 141 of 162

Crushed

Composition of Projections:

2023 Actuals: 87.0%

Preseason Projections: 13.0%

Season Projections

Abreu with a big night, is now projected for 17 home runs and 87 RBI.

Are we still questioning the trade for JV?

Bullpen Usage

In good shape to start the next 6 game stretch.

Today’s Pitching Matchup

Brown has no experience against the Padres.

Projected Standings

Astros with a half-game lead in real life and in my projected standings.

Luck Rankings

Most teams near the top or bottom are completely understandable, but the Royals are an outlier.

They are not overly bad in one-run games (13-14) or extra innings (3-4). Why do I classify them as having “bad luck”?

At 44 wins they are 12 below what my numbers say they should have at this point. Crazy you say? The widely accepted Pythagorean Theorem says they should have 10 more wins currently.

May not mean anything notes of the day

Chas McCormick since August 1:

122 PA .296/.369/.528 7 HR 19 RBI .382 wOBA 146 wRC+

J.P France since August 1:

6 G 29.1 IP 36 H 22 R 21 ER 11 K 27 BB 11 6.44 ERA

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August/September

Record: 20-14

Team ERA: 4.25 Starters ERA: 5.01 Relievers ERA: 3.03

Batters: .292/.370/.500 w/.373 wOBA 60 HR 139 wRC+

Thanks for reading!